Also… seeing climate change as the engine that drove things like the arab spring, although the idea has been gaining popularity , is simply wrong…

I am not saying it is not a part of the equation, but there are many, much more important elements to it… start with government oppression, inequality, poverty and all the other reasons that made people unhappy with , let’s say, Qaddafi. The lybians were not too happy with him a long time before the climate change started influencing things. It might be, that a couple of years of drought caused by that climate change pushed the entire thing off the cliff- but that was “straw that broke the camels back” .. not the main load.

For, as a rule of thumb, a population which is happy, or at least not unhappy, with it’S leadership, is not going to explode in a revolution because of drought- if anything, it might make the people and the authorities work more closely together to find solutions…

But, if the population is unhappy with the leadership, feels oppressed, endangered, tortured, it might tolerate the way things are in hope that it will be better in some future- but, when you add food and water insecurity, you get desperation….